From contributor Bjorn Zetterberg.
Bjorn spent seven years as a video analyst for the Portland Trail Blazers, breaking down thousands of hours of film in in-depth detail. You can reach him by email at email@example.com.
Trae Young measured at barely over six-feet tall, barefoot, at the Draft Combine this past month. He weighed the least of any player measured. And his wingspan, at six-foot-three, isn’t nearly long enough to make up for his lack of size. Young is not a prototypical NBA athlete. But Young is still expected to be a top-10 pick in the NBA draft later this month because of his extremely high skill level—in particular, his long-range shooting.
If you hadn’t heard of Trae Young until now, though, you’d be forgiven for being skeptical about just how good of a shooter Young is. How could someone who will be drafted largely on the basis of his shooting hit just 36 percent of his three-pointers? Young, it turns out, is a poster-child for the importance of accounting for context when assessing three-point shooting.